It may be debated on the figures. But the employment potential of green jobs is not in question even in Italy. Official statistics do not exist, but according to the Association producers of energy from renewability (Aper) collars around the greens are already occupied between 55 thousand and 50-induced, only as regards the energy sector . If you look at the future of the green economy could reach 250 thousand jobs in 2020. At least according to the conclusions of the study of IEFE (Centre for Research on Energy and Environmental Economics and Policy), University Bocconi on "Prospects of development of renewable technologies for electricity generation," addressed to the Manager of Electrical Services (GSE) and presented in May.
is the first comprehensive research projects that reliable estimates on Italy's 2020 analysis of energy scenarios. The ability of our industry to respond to the challenge of technology, research and development, innovation, and cooperation between public and private sectors, will configure three different perspectives based on the "exploitation of the opportunities." In the case of 'low use' in continuity "with that of the last five years," the fatturato sarà di 30 miliardi di euro con un valore medio annuo di 2,4 miliardi e un'occupazione di 100mila posti. Con uno sfruttamento medio , coprendo il 50% della quota di mercato con produzione nazionale, si potrà realizzare un fatturato di 50 miliardi con una media annua di 4 miliardi e un'occupazione di 150mila persone. Se lo sfruttamento sarà alto , l'industria nazionale potrà realizzare un fatturato di 70 miliardi (pari al 70% della quota di mercato) con un valore medio annuo di 5,6 miliardi (2,4 miliardi in importazioni di apparati tecnologici) e raggiungere 175mila posti lavoro in Italia e 75mila al l'estero, 250mila in totale. L'eolico ne occuperebbe 77.500 (31%), biomass 65,000 (26%), solar photovoltaic 27,500 (11%), up to 10,000 (4%) involved in the incineration of municipal solid waste.
More debate instead of the current situation. The estimates vary, even significantly, depending on the measurement criteria adopted. estimates Marco Andreassi, ATKearney partners, are cautious: "Sometimes, workers are included in the calculations of the jobs generated by past investments, together with those present and future. In fact, very often follows a single trader more jobs simultaneously, and the positions of work created by a given project are closed when it is completed. " Partendo da queste considerazioni, Andreassi stima che «se si considerano esclusivamente fotovoltaico, eolico e biomasse, e al netto degli impieghi part-time, i professionisti verdi a tempo pieno potrebbero essere a oggi poco più di 5mila in tutta Italia».
Secondo Paolo Bersani, partner PwC Advisory per Sustainable business solutions, «i green job saranno i veri driver occupazionali nei prossimi anni . Bisogna però compiere scelte di lungo periodo, mentre il punto di vista italiano è quasi sempre di breve termine. Quando l'Italia abbandonò il nucleare, non si mise in atto un piano concreto di sviluppo per le energie rinnovabili. Adesso, si guarda di new atom as the only alternative to exit the energy crisis, but the development of a mix of alternative energy scenarios and workers would open wider. "
The wider the definition of green jobs given by Marco Pigna, Managing Director of Aper, the Association of producers of energy from renewable sources : "The part-time and advice are phenomena to be included in consolidated in the calculation. Direct employment linked to the green economy, in Italy, now stands at about 30 thousand people, which he sum of 25 thousand 20-induced arising from the production chain. If you look to companies building and plant, now being converted to green 30-40% of their assets, plus additional 50 thousand jobs in total. "
Even the most optimistic estimates Bruno Berthon, lead manager of Accenture for sustainability : "Only in the sector of renewable energy jobs here in the next ten years, provided the evolutionary framework and in accordance with promises of investment to date, it might be 510mila jobs in Italy. If you would invest more in renewable sources of third-generation, particularly in the sector and geothermal heat, they could rise up to 700 thousand. If estendessimo the definition of green jobs to the broader concept of sustainability, including, for example, the ethical, social, CSR, supply chain and green IT, it could add a potential market of 400 thousand jobs, reaching a total of 910mila-1, 1 million over the next ten years. "
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